PAradigm SHifts Modelling and INnovative Approaches – PASHMINA
PASHMINA aims at showing that it is possible to address global changes in a long term time perspective (2030-2050). It will make a first development of tools – new generation models and indicators – with enhanced capabilities to take into account the interaction between the economy and the environment, paradigm shifts in the energy-transport-envirionment nexus and the land-use and territorial functions.
PASHMINA aims at showing that it is possible to address global changes in a long term time perspective (2030-2050). It will make a first development of tools – new generation models and indicators – with enhanced capabilities to take into account the interaction between the economy and the environment, paradigm shifts in the energy-transport-environment nexus and the land-use and territorial functions.
The objectives of the PASHMINA project includes:
- The production of exploratory scenarios of future global change options up to 2030 and 2050. Qualitative scenarios (storylines) will be deployed to describe different options of economic, technological and social development available for Europe and other regions of the world. These qualitative scenarios will be complemented by a quantitative analysis of key development indicators (GDP, well being, etc.) undertaken by means of global long term meta-models, which will be enhanced for the purposes of the project.
- The analysis of the consequences of the paradigm shifts in the energy-transport-environment nexus related to the urban functions (housing, mobility, recreation, etc.), combining three main research topics: a qualitative assessment of these consequences, the enhancement of global tools and models to quantify these consequences, and a GIS assessment of consequences on urban sprawl on specific local applications.
- The analysis of the possible paradigm shifts in the land use and territorial functions related to agriculture, forestry and more in general ecosystem services (e.g. biofuels, biodiversity, ecosystems metabolism, etc.), generating new paradigm shift sensitive tools and testing them with a number of pilot applications.
- The first development a new generation of global indicators and models, starting from already existing sustainability accounting and general equilibrium modelling frameworks and adapting these to make them (more) sensitive to paradigm shifts in the long-term perspective.
- A pilot assessment of possible adaptation and mitigation strategies to tackle with different paradigm shifts, evaluating their trade-offs.
- To produce a comparative evaluation of the advancements in modelling tools achieved by PASHMINA, and to disseminate those in the scientific and stakeholders communities by means of innovative dissemination tools (virtual library, wiki-web tools, webGIS application) and other dissemination activities.
The PASHMINA project is hosting its FINAL CONFERENCE on 16 October 2012 in Brussels, Belgium.