Optimal Disease Eradication
Data
01.01.2004
01.01.2004
Autori
Michael Hoel, Scott Barrett
Codice JEL
D61;H41;I18
D61;H41;I18
Parole chiave:
eradication of infectious diseases,vaccination,control theory,cost-benefit analysis,poliomyelitis
eradication of infectious diseases,vaccination,control theory,cost-benefit analysis,poliomyelitis
Publisher
Climate Change and Sustainable Development
Climate Change and Sustainable Development
Editor
Carlo Carraro
Carlo Carraro
Using a dynamic model of the control of an infectious disease, we derive the conditions under which eradication will be optimal. When eradication is feasible, the optimal program requires either a low vaccination rate or eradication. A high vaccination rate is never optimal. Under special conditions, the results are especially stark: the optimal policy is either not to vaccinate at all or to eradicate. Our analysis yields a cost-benefit rule for eradication, which we apply to the current initiative to eradicate polio.