Irreversibilities and the Timing of Environmental Policy
Data
01.01.2000
01.01.2000
Autori
Robert Pindyck
Codice JEL
Q28,L51,H23
Q28,L51,H23
Parole chiave:
Environmental policy,irreversibilities,cost-benefit analysis,uncertainty,option value,global warming
Environmental policy,irreversibilities,cost-benefit analysis,uncertainty,option value,global warming
Publisher
Climate Change and Sustainable Development
Climate Change and Sustainable Development
Editor
Carlo Carraro
Carlo Carraro
The standard framework in which economists evaluate environmental policies is cost-benefit analysis, so policy debates usually focus on the expected flows of costs and benefits, or on the choice of discount rate. But this can be misleading when there is uncertainty over future outcomes, when there are irreversibilities, and when policy adoption can be delayed. This paper shows how two kinds of uncertainty over the future costs and benefits of reduced environmental degradation, and over the evolution of an ecosystem interact with two kinds of irreversibilities – sunk costs associated with an environmental regulation, and “sunk benefits” of avoided environmental degradation – to affect optimal policy timing and design.