Economy-Wide Estimates of the Implications of Climate Change: Human Health
Data
01.01.2005
01.01.2005
Autori
Francesco Bosello, Roberto Roson, Richard S.J. Tol
Codice JEL
C68,D58,Q25
C68,D58,Q25
Parole chiave:
Impacts of climate change,Human health,Computable general equilibrium
Impacts of climate change,Human health,Computable general equilibrium
Publisher
Climate Change and Sustainable Development
Climate Change and Sustainable Development
Editor
Carlo Carraro
Carlo Carraro
We study the economic impacts of climate-change-induced change in human health, viz. cardiovascular and respiratory disorders, diarrhoea, malaria, dengue fever and schistosomiasis. Changes in morbidity and mortality are interpreted as changes in labour productivity and demand for health care, and used to shock the GTAP-E computable general equilibrium model, calibrated for the year 2050. GDP, welfare and investment fall (rise) in regions with net negative (positive) health impacts. Prices, production, and terms of trade show a mixed pattern. Direct cost estimates, common in climate change impact studies, underestimate the true welfare losses.