Assessing Climate Change Impacts: Agriculture
Data
01.01.2005
01.01.2005
Autori
Francesco Bosello, Jian Zhang
Codice JEL
D58,C68,N50,Q54
D58,C68,N50,Q54
Parole chiave:
Climate change,Computable general equilibrium models,Agriculture
Climate change,Computable general equilibrium models,Agriculture
Publisher
Climate Change and Sustainable Development
Climate Change and Sustainable Development
Editor
Carlo Carraro
Carlo Carraro
The economy-wide implications of climate change on agricultural sectors in 2050 are estimated using a static computable general equilibrium model. Peculiar to this exercise is the coupling of the economic model with a climatic model forecasting temperature increase in the relevant year and with a crop-growth model estimating climate change impact on cereal productivity. The main results of the study point out on the one hand the limited influence of climate change on world food supply and welfare; on the other hand its important distributional consequences as the stronger negative effects are concentrated on developing countries. The simulation exercise is introduced by a survey of the relevant literature.