Advanced Biofuels: Future Perspectives from an Expert Elicitation Survey
Giulia Fiorese, Michela Catenacci, Elena Verdolini, Valentina Bosetti
Expert Elicitation, Research, Development and Demonstration, Biofuels
Climate Change and Sustainable Development
This paper illustrates the main results of an expert elicitation survey on advanced (second and third generation) biofuel technologies. The survey focuses on eliciting probabilistic information on the future costs of advanced biofuels and on the potential role of RD&D (Research, Development and Demonstration) efforts in reducing these costs and in supporting the deployment of biofuels in OECD and non-OECD countries. Fifteen leading experts from different EU member states provide insights on the future potential of advanced biofuel technologies both in terms of costs and diffusion. This information results in a number of policy recommendations with respect to public RD&D strategies and is an important contribution to the integrated assessment modelling community.
Suggested citation: Giulia Fiorese, Michela Catenacci, Elena Verdolini, Valentina Bosetti, Advanced biofuels: Future perspectives from an expert elicitation survey, Energy Policy, Volume 56, May 2013, Pages 293-311, ISSN 0301-4215, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2012.12.061