Labour in the Low-carbon Transition
The research program Labour in the Low-carbon Transition (LiLT) studies topics related to the effect of climate policies, green subsidies and broad green deal plans on the structure of the economy. The particular focus on labour market effects across workers with different skills and qualifications is the entry point of the research agenda conducted within this program. The concept of skills is crucial to understand both the distributional effects of climate policies and the building up of a comparative advantage in key sectors, such as renewable energy generation, electric vehicles and storage technologies. The program has been organized in four projects.
The first project explores the structural features of the low-carbon transition: the skill content of green and brown jobs, the relationship between job creation and green productions and other structural aspects of the low-carbon transition related to innovation, comparative advantage, emission and productivity dynamics.
The second project examines the effect of several policies on the employment dynamics of workers with different skills, considering both the winners and the losers in the labour market and the effect of policies on wages and profits. A related objective of this project is to examine the effect of deindustrialization in European local labour markets, with a particular focus on displaced workers in carbon-intensive industries.
The third project is conceived on the political-economy of the low-carbon transition. It seeks to understand the extent to which distributional effects along several dimensions affect the formation of political preferences for green policies as well as the role of low-carbon and fossil fuel lobbies in shaping the political process at the European level.
The fourth project is based on a long-term research activity, namely building a disequilibrium model to assess the transitional costs associated with the reallocation of workers from high- to low-carbon jobs. The idea is to construct a theoretical framework to quantify the transitional costs of the low-carbon transition, the role of distributional effects and of emerging political resistances on the outcomes of transition towards a low-carbon economy.
Projects
01.01.2024 / 31.12.2026
Research Project | Ongoing Project
SkiLMeeT – Skills for Labour Markets in the green and digital Transition
Publications
Scientific Pubblications
Working Paper | 18.04.2025
An Empirical Analysis of Environmental and Climate Inequalities across Italian census tracts
Alessandra Drigo (University of Milan, Department of Environmental Science and Policy, and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)
Working Paper | 07.04.2025
Predictive AI and productivity growth dynamics: evidence from French firms
Luca Fontanelli (University of Brescia, Department of Economics and Management, CMCC Foundation โ Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change and cRFF-CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment), Mattia Guerini (University of Brescia, Deparment of Economics and Management and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei), Raffaele Miniaci (University of Brescia, Department of Economics and Management), Angelo Secchi (PSE – University Paris 1 Pantheon-Sorbonne, CMCC Foundation โ Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change and RFF-CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment)
Working Paper | 17.03.2025
Accounting for the Multiple Sources of Inflation: an Agent-Based Model Investigation
Leonardo Ciambezi (Universitรฉ Cรดte DโAzur, CNRS, GREDEG and Institute of Economics and lโEmbeds, Scuola Superiore SantโAnna di Pisa), Mattia Guerini (Department of Economics and Management, University of Brescia, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Universitรฉ Cรดte DโAzur, CNRS, GREDEG and Institute of Economics and lโEmbeds, Scuola Superiore SantโAnna di Pisa), Mauro Napoletano (Universitรฉ Cรดte DโAzur, CNRS, GREDEG, OFCE – SciencesPo and Institute of Economics and lโEmbeds, Scuola Superiore SantโAnna di Pisa), Andrea Roventini (Institute of Economics and lโEmbeds, Scuola Superiore SantโAnna di Pisa and OFCE – SciencesPo)
Journal Articles | 13.03.2025
Inequality and climate change: Two problems, one solution?
Francescoย Nicolli (Department of Economics and Management, University of Ferrara), Mariannaย Gilli (Department of Economics and Management, University of Ferrara), Francesco Vona (Department of Environmental Science and Policy, University of Milan, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and OFCE Sciences-Po)
Working Paper | 06.03.2025
Green Collars at the Voting Booth: Material Interest and Environmental Voting
Enrico Cavallotti (Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics); Italo Colantone (Bocconi University, Department of Social and Political Sciences, GREEN Research Centre, Baffi Research Centre, CESifo & Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei);ย Piero Stanig (Bocconi University, Department of Social and Political Sciences, GREEN Research Centre, & Dondena Research Centre); Francesco Vona (University of Milan, Department of Environmental Science and Policy & Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)
Journal Articles | 28.02.2025
Robust-less-fragile: Tackling systemic risk and financial contagion in a macro agent-based model
Gianlucaย Pallante (Institute of Economics and lโEMbeDS, Scuola Superiore SantโAnna), Mattiaย Guerini (University of Brescia, Department of Economics and Management,ย Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei,ย Institute of Economics, Scuola Superiore SantโAnna, and Universitรฉ Cรดte dโAzur, CNRS, GREDEG, SOPHIA ANTIPOLIS), Mauroย Napoletano (Universitรฉ Cรดte dโAzur, CNRS, GREDEG, SOPHIA ANTIPOLIS, Sciences Po, OFCE, and Institute of Economics, Scuola Superiore SantโAnna), Andrea Roventini (Institute of Economics and lโEMbeDS, Scuola Superiore SantโAnna)
Journal Articles | 28.02.2025
De-Globalization and Fragmentation
Italo Colantone (Bocconi University, GREEN Research Centre, IEP, Baffi Research Centre, CESifo and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)
Journal Articles | 20.02.2025
Green Backlash and Right-Wing Populism
Valentina Bosetti (Bocconi University, IEP, GREEN Research Centre, RFF-CMCC European Institute of Economics and the Environment, Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change); Italo Colantone (Bocconi University, IEP, GREEN Research Centre, Baffi Research Centre, CESifo and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei); Catherine E. De Vries (Bocconi University, IEP, GREEN Research Centre, Baffi Research Centre, Dondena Research Center); Giorgio Musto (Bocconi University)
Journal Articles | 17.02.2025
Exploring skills in the green transition: new insights from Italian data world
Irene Brunetti (Istituto nazionale per lโanalisi delle politiche pubbliche – INAPP), Federico Fabio Frattini (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei), Martino Kuntze (Universitร degli Studi di Roma La Sapienza – Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei), Andrea Ricci (Istituto nazionale per lโanalisi delle politiche pubbliche – INAPP), Francesco Vona (Universitร degli Studi di Milano, Dipartimento di Scienze e Politiche Ambientali – Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)
Working Paper | 30.12.2024
Hot Wages: How Do Heat Waves Change the Earnings Distribution?
Giulia Valenti (Ca’ Foscari University of Venice and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei); Francesco Vona (University of Milan and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)
Working Paper | 13.12.2024
Vaccines on the Move and the War on Polio
Laura Muรฑoz-Blanco (University of Exeter); Federico Fabio Frattini (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)
Working Paper | 10.12.2024
Trade and Intergenerational Income Mobility: Theory and Evidence from the U.S.
Italo Colantone (Bocconi University, Baffi Research Centre, GREEN Research Centre, CESifo and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei), Gianmarco I.P. Ottaviano (Bocconi University, Baffi Research Centre, CEP, CEPR and IGIER), Kohei Takeda (National University of Singapore and CEP)
Working Paper | 09.12.2024
In Search of the Causes of the Globalization Backlash: Methodological Considerations on Post-Treatment Bias
Paolo Agnolin (Bocconi University, Duke University and Dondena Research Centre), Italo Colantone (Bocconi University, Baffi Research Centre, GREEN Research Centre, CESifo and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei), Piero Stanig (Bocconi University, Yale-NUS and NUS)
Working Paper | 23.10.2024
Breathing Inequality? Income, Ethnicity and PM2.5 Exposure in Bologna, Italy
Alessandra Drigo (University of Milan and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)
Journal Articles | 14.10.2024
In Search of the Causes of the Globalization Backlash: Methodological Considerations on Post-treatment Bias
Paolo Agnolin (Bocconi University and Duke University), Italo Colantone (Bocconi University, Baffi Research Centre, GREEN Research Centre, CESifo, and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei), Piero Stanig (Bocconi University and Yale-NUS and NUS)
Journal Articles | 09.10.2024
Carbon Taxation and Electricity Price Dynamics: Empirical Evidence from the Australian Market
Nicola Comincioli (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and Universitร di Brescia); Mattia Guerini (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and Universitร di Brescia); Sergio Vergalli (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and Universitร di Brescia)
Journal Articles | 30.09.2025
Studentsโ commuting habits to the university: Transportation choices during the Covid-19 era
Chiaraย Lodi (Department of Economics, Society, Politics, University of Urbino Carlo Bo, SEEDS Sustainability Environmental Economics and Dynamics Studies), Giovanni Marin (Department of Economics, Society, Politics, University of Urbino Carlo Bo, SEEDS Sustainability Environmental Economics and Dynamics Studies, and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei), Paolo Polidori (Department of Law, University of Urbino Carlo Bo), Dรฉsirรฉeย Teobaldelli (Department of Law, University of Urbino Carlo Bo)
Journal Articles | 30.09.2024
Gli effetti distributivi della politica EU-ETS sulle carriere dei lavoratori italiani
Francesca Maria De Matteis (Universitร di Roma La Sapienza e Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei), Giovanni Marin Universitร di Urbino Carlo Bo, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei e SEEDS), Michele Raitano (Universitร di Roma La Sapienza), Francesco Vona (Universitร degli Studi di Milano e Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)
Working Paper | 27.08.2024
Does Green Re-industrialization Pay off? Impacts on Employment, Wages and Productivity
Federico Fabio Frattini (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei), Francesco Vona (University of Milan and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei), Filippo Bontadini (Luiss University and SPRU – University of Sussex)
Working Paper | 20.06.2024
Environmental justice gap in Italy: the role of industrial agglomerations and regional pollution dispersion capacity
Alessandra Drigo (Department of Environmental Science and Policy, University of Milan and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)
Working Paper | 18.06.2024
Regional and Aggregate Economic Consequences of Environmental Policy
Tom Schmitz (School of Economics and Finance, Queen Mary University of London and CEPR),ย Italo Colantone (Baffi-Carefin Research Centre, Bocconi University, CESifo and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei),ย Gianmarco Ottaviano (Baffi-Carefin Research Centre, Bocconi University, CEP, CEPR and IGIER)
Journal Articles | 17.06.2024
A Popular Backlash against Globalization?
Italo Colantone (Bocconi University and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei), Gianmarco Ottaviano (Bocconi University), Piero Stanig (Bocconi University)
Journal Articles | 01.03.2024
E pluribus, quaedam. Gross Domestic Product out of a Dashboard of Indicators
Mattia Guerini (University of Brescia, Fondazione ENI Enrico Mattei, Universitรฉ Cรดte dโAzur, CNRS, GREDEG, Nice-Sophia Antipolis, and Institute of Economics, SantโAnna School of Advanced Studies), Fabio Vanni (Universitรฉ Cรดte dโAzur, CNRS, GREDEG, Nice-Sophia Antipolis, Institute of Economics, SantโAnna School of Advanced Studies, Universitร degli Studi dellโInsubria), Mauro Napoletano (Universitรฉ Cรดte dโAzur, CNRS, GREDEG, Nice-Sophia Antipolis, Institute of Economics, SantโAnna School of Advanced Studies, SciencesPo, OFCE)
Journal Articles | 28.02.2025
Zombification of the economy? Assessing the effectiveness of French government support during COVID-19 lockdown
Mattia Guerini (University of Brescia and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei), Lionelย Nesta (Universitรฉ Cรดte d’Azur, CNRS, GREDEG,ย SKEMA Business School andย Sciences Po Paris, OFCE), Xavierย Ragot (Sciences Po Paris, Department of Economics and OFCE), Stefanoย Schiavo (University of Trento, andย Sciences Po Paris, OFCE)
Journal Articles | 08.02.2024
The Next Wave of Energy Innovation: Which Technologies? Which Skills?
David Popp (Center for Policy Research, Syracuse University, and NBER); Francesco Vona (Department of Environmental Science and Policy, University of Milan and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei); Myriam Gregoire-Zawilski (Public Administration and International Affairs Department and Graduate Associate, Center for Policy Research, Syracuse University); Giovanni Marin (Department of Economics, Society, Politics, University of Urbino โCarlo Boโ, SEEDS and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)
Journal Articles | 09.01.2024
The anatomy of government bond yields synchronization in the Eurozone
Claudio Barbieri (European Central Bank, and Universitรฉ Cรดte dโAzur, CNRS, GREDEG), Mattia Guerini (Deparment of Economics and Management, University of Brescia, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Universitรฉ Cรดte dโAzur, CNRS, GREDEG and Institute of Economics, Scuola Superiore SantโAnna), Mauro Napoletano (Universitรฉ Cรดte dโAzur, CNRS, GREDEG, Sciences Po, OFCE, and Institute of Economics, Scuola Superiore SantโAnna)
Journal Articles | 22.12.2023
The social footprint of globalisation: towards the introduction of strategic industries in quantitative trade models
Italo Colantone ((Bocconi University, Baffi-Carefin Research Center, CESifo and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)); G. Ottaviano (Bocconi University, Baffi-Carefin, IGIER and CEPR); P. Stanig (Yale University, NUS, Bocconi University and Dondena)
Libri | 21.11.2023
Labour market implications for the sustainable transition
Giovanni Marin (Department of Economics, Society, Politics, University of Urbino โCarlo Boโ, SEEDS and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei); Francesco Vona (OFCE Sciences-Po, SKEMA Business School, University Cรดte d’Azur GREDEG, Department of Environmental Science and Policy, University of Milan, and FEEM)
Journal Articles | 20.12.2023
Exposure to international trade lowers green voting and worsens environmental attitudes
Charlotte Bez (Scuola Superiore SantโAnna and Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research); Valentina Bosetti (Bocconi University, RFF-CMCC European Institute of Economics and the Environment and Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change); Italo Colantone (Bocconi University, Baffi-Carefin Research Center, CESifo and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei); Maurizio Zanardi (University of Surrey)
Working Paper | 25.10.2023
Skills and human capital for the low-carbon transition in developing and emerging economies
Francesco Vona (University of Milan and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)
Journal Articles | 04.07.2023
The institutional wage adjustment to import competition: evidence from the Italian collective bargaining system
Alessia Matano (Department of Economy and Law, University of Roma โLa Sapienzaโ and AQR-IREA, Universitat de Barcelona); Paolo Naticchioni (University of Rome Tre and INPS-DCSR); Francesco Vona (OFCE Sciences-Po, SKEMA Business School, University Cรดte d’Azur GREDEG, Department of Environmental Science and Policy, University of Milan, and FEEM)
Journal Articles | 03.07.2023
Anatomy of Green Specialisation: Evidence from EU Production Data, 1995โ2015
Filippo Bontadini (LUISS Guido Carli University and SPRU, University of Sussex); Francesco Vona (Department of Environmental Science and Policy, University of Milan and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)
Journal Articles | 27.04.2023
On the employment and health impact of the COVID-19 shock on Italian regions: a value chain approach
Tommaso Ferraresi (IRPET); Leonardo Ghezzi (IRPET); Fabio Vanni (Department of Economics, University of Insubria and Sciences Po, OFCE); Alessandro Caiani (Scuola Universitaria Superiore Pavia (IUSS), Classe Scienze Tecnologie e Societร , Research Centre on Climate change impAct studies for RISk MAnagement); Mattia Guerini (Dipartimento di Economia e Management, Universitร degli Studi di Brescia, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, GREDEG-CNRS Universitรฉ Cรดte d’Azur and Institute of Economics, Scuola Superiore SantโAnna); Francesco Lamperti (Scuola Superiore SantโAnna, Institute of Economics and EMbeDS, RFF-CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment); Severin Reissl (Scuola Universitaria Superiore Pavia, Classe Scienze Tecnologie e Societร , Research Centre on Climate change impAct studies for RISk MAnagement); Giorgio Fagiolo (Scuola Superiore SantโAnna, Institute of Economics and EMbeDS); Mauro Napoletano (University of Brescia, Sciences Po OFCE and Institute of Economics, Scuola Superiore SantโAnna); Andrea Roventini (Sciences Po, OFCE, Scuola Superiore SantโAnna, Institute of Economics and EMbeDS)
Journal Articles | 27.04.2023
The Political Consequences of Green Policies: Evidence from Italy
Italo Colantone (Bocconi University, Baffi-Carefin Research Center, CESifo and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei); Livio Di Lonardo (Department of Social and Political Sciences, Dondena Research Center, Bocconi University); Yotam Margalit (Department of Political Science, Tel Aviv University and Department of Political Economy, Kingโs College London); Marco Percoco (Department of Social and Political Sciences, GREEN Research Center, Bocconi University)
Journal Articles | 31.03.2023
Assessing the Socio-Economic Impact of the Circular Economy through input-output modelling: Evidence from developing countries
Manuel Albaladejo (UNIDO), Juergen Amann (OECD), Nicola Cantore (UNIDO), Alessandro Flammini (UNIDO), Giovanni Marin (Universitร di Urbino – Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei), Massimiliano Mazzanti (Universitร di Ferrara)
Journal Articles | 23.02.2023
Finance and the reallocation of scientific, engineering and mathematical talent
Giovanni Marin (Department of Economics, Society, Politics, University of Urbino โCarlo Bo, SEEDS and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei); Francesco Vonaย (University of Milan, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and OFCE, Sciences Po)
Journal Articles | 11.01.2023
Routinization, within-occupation task changes and long-run employment dynamics
Davide Consoli (INGENIO – CSIC Universitat Politecnica de Valencia); Giovanni Marin (Department of Economics, Society, Politics, University of Urbino ‘Carlo Bo’, SEEDS and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei); Francesco Rentocchini (European Commission, Joint Research Centre – JRC and Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods – DEMM, University of Milan); Francesco Vona (University of Milan, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and OFCE, Sciences Po)
Journal Articles | 11.01.2023
Managing the distributional effects of climate policies: A narrow path to a just transition
Francesco Vona (University of Milan, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and OFCE, Sciences Po)
Working Paper | 18.11.2022
Routinization, Within-Occupation Task Changes and Long-Run Employment Dynamics
Davide Consoli (INGENIO CSIC-UPV); Giovanni Marin (Department of Economics, Society and Politics, University of Urbino Carlo Bo and SEEDS); Francesco Rentocchini (European Commission, Joint Research Centre and Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods, University of Milan); Francesco Vona (University of Milan, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and OFCE, Sciences Po)
Working Paper | 27.10.2022
Who's fit for the low-carbon transition? Emerging skills and wage gaps in job ad data
Aurรฉlien Saussay (Grantham Research Institute, London School of Economics and Political Science and OFCE, Sciences Po); Misato Sato (Grantham Research Institute, London School of Economics and Political Science); Francesco Vona (University of Milan, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and OFCE, Sciences Po); Layla O’Kane (Lightcast)
Working Paper | 25.07.2022
Finance and the Reallocation of Scientific, Engineering and Mathematical Talent
Giovanni Marin (University of Urbino ‘Carlo Bo’, SEEDS, Ferrara); Francesco Vona (University of Milan, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, and OFCE)
Working Paper | 30.06.2022
E pluribus, quaedam. Gross domestic product out of a dashboard of indicators
Mattia Guerini (University of Brescia, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, GREDEG, CNRS, Universitรฉ Cรดte d’Azur and Institute of Economics, Sant’Anna School of Advanced Studies); Fabio Vanni (Universitร degli Studi dell’Insubria, GREDEG, CNRS, Universitรฉ Cรดte d’Azur and Institute of Economics, Sant’Anna School of Advanced Studies); Mauro Napoletano (GREDEG, CNRS, Universitรฉ Cรดte d’Azur and Institute of Economics, Sciences Po, OFCE, SKEMA Business School and Institute of Economics, Sant’Anna School of Advanced Studies)
Working Paper | 17.06.2022
Anatomy of Green Specialisation: Evidence from EU Production Data, 1995-2015
Filippo Bontadini (OFCE Sciences-Po, LUISS Guido Carli University and SPRU – University of Sussex); Francesco Vona (University of Milan, Department of Environmental Science and Policy, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) and OFCE Sciences-Po)
Other Pubblications
Pubblicazioni Media | 21.03.2025
Il contraccolpo della globalizzazione non risuona solo a Washington
Italo Colantone (Universitร Bocconi – Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei), Gianmarco Ottavianoย (Universitร Bocconi), Piero Stanig (Universitร Bocconi)
Pubblicazioni Media | 31.05.2023
Green skills shortage threatens Europe's climate ambitions | Interview to Francesco Vona (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei) by Financial Times