FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series
2006 .130

Pricing and Hedging Illiquid Energy Derivatives: an Application to the JCC Index


Autori: Matteo Manera, Elisa Scarpa
Serie: Energy: Resources and Markets
Editor: Carlo Carraro
Tipo: Journal
Parole chiave: Hedging models,Cross-hedging,Energy derivatives,Illiquid financial products,Commodity markets,JCC price index
Numero JEL: G13,G15
JEL: Journal of Futures Markets
Pagine: Vol. 28, No. 5, pp. 464-487
Data: 2008

Abstract

In this paper we discuss a simple strategy for pricing and hedging illiquid financial products, such as the Japanese crude oil cocktail (JCC) index, the most popular OTC energy derivative in Japan. First, we review the existing literature for computing optimal hedge ratios (OHR) and we propose a critical classification of the existing approaches. Second, we compare the empirical performance of different econometric models (namely, regression models for price levels, price first differences, and price returns, as well as error correction and autoregressive distributed lag models) in terms of their computed OHR, using monthly data on the JCC over the period Janury 2000-January 2006. Third, we illustrate and implement a reliable procedure to price and hedge a swap contract on the JCC with a variable oil volume. We explain how to compute a bid/ask spread and to construct the hedging position for the JCC swap. Fourth, we evaluate our swap pricing scheme with backtesting and rolling regression techniques. Our empirical findings show that it is not necessary to use complicated econometric techniques, since the price-level regression model permits to compute more precise optimal hedge ratios relative to its competing alternatives.

Download file
Scarica il file PDF

FEEM Newsletter

Iscriviti per rimanere aggiornato.

I Suoi dati saranno trattati dalla Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei. – Titolare del trattamento – per ricevere via posta elettronica la newsletter della Fondazione. Il conferimento dell’indirizzo e-mail è necessario alla fornitura del servizio. La invitiamo a consultare la Privacy Policy per ottenere maggiori informazioni a tutela dei Suoi diritti.

Questo Sito utilizza cookie tecnici e analytics, nonché consente l’invio di cookie di profilazione di terze parti.
Chiudendo questo banner o comunque proseguendo la navigazione sul Sito manifesti il tuo consenso all’uso dei cookie. Per ulteriori informazioni e per esprimere scelte selettive in ordine all’uso dei cookie vedi la   Cookie PolicyOk