Seminari
1 giugno 2017

FEEM Research Seminar on "Housing and transport policies: a spatial general equilibrium analysis for Melbourne"


Dove: Venice
Sede:

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei
Isola di San Giorgio Maggiore
30124 Venice

***
Video-conference
at FEEM Milan

Come raggiungere: Mappa di Google
Orario dell'evento:

h. 12.30 Seminar
In Venice a light lunch will follow the seminar for registered participants.

Informazione:

Registration is required. Please confirm your participation here.
The seminar will be broadcasted via GoToMeeting.
Seminars Office, seminars@feem.it

Speakers:

James Lennox - Victoria University, Melbourne, Australia
Moderator: Enrica De Cian - Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei

Abstract

Melbourne, like other large Australian cities, is growing outwards more than upwards. Together with the shift from manufacturing to services, this leaves a large proportion of the population to choose between unaffordable housing in inner areas with high concentrations of employment, or long and expensive commutes from the outer suburbs. The result is erosion of living standards and rising environmental costs. State and local governments acknowledge the need for measures to increase housing supply in established suburbs and to improve the efficiency of transport systems.

There are currently limited tools available to assess the spatial economic impacts of urban policies or infrastructure investments in Australia. We have developed a spatial computable general equilibrium (SCGE) model of Melbourne featuring housing, employment and travel between over three hundred residential and employment zones for work and other purposes. Our ‘VU-Cities (Melbourne)’ model also accounts for positive externalities of density affecting both firm productivity and residential amenity.

We demonstrate application of VU-Cities by comparing population growth under three different policies: (i) a continued heavy reliance on peripheral greenfield developments; (ii) extensive rezoning for denser residential developments in Melbourne’s established ‘middle ring’ suburbs; and (iii) a uniformly applied transport tax. Both densification and transport tax policies increase residential densities, but the transport tax has much stronger impacts on employment densities. It also reduces aggregate travel demand substantially. The densification policy alleviates pressure on housing costs but has small productivity benefits, whereas both housing costs and productivity are substantially increased with the transport tax. The densification and transport tax policies thus have complementary benefits.

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