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TOCSIN evaluates climate change mitigation options in China and India and the conditions for a strategic cooperation on RD&D and technology transfer with EU.

TOCSIN evaluates climate change mitigation options in China and India and the conditions for a strategic cooperation on RD&D and technology transfer with EU.

This project identifies and assesses technology options that might significantly reduce greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions in China and India in key sectors (i.e. power generation, transport, agriculture, and heavy industry).

It also defines the necessary institutional and organisational architecture that stimulate technological cooperation.

The research emphasises the strategic dimension of RD&D cooperation, and the key role of creating incentives for the participation of developing countries (DCs) in post-2012 GHG emissions reduction strategies and technological cooperation.

Finally, it evaluates how the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and international emission trading (IET) might improve the attractiveness of new energy technology options for DCs, and thus contribute to stimulate RD&D cooperation and technology transfers toward China and India.

The research is structured around the use of an ensemble of models:

  • World and regional (i.e. China and India) MARKAL/TIMES bottom-up techno-economic models permitting a global assessment of technology options in different regions of the world;
  • a CGE multi-country and multi-region model of the world economy (GEMINI-E3) that includes a representation of developing countries’ economies (i.e. China and India) permitting an assessment of welfare, terms of trade and emissions trading effects;
  • a multiregional integrated model (WITCH, developed by FEEM) representing the effect on economic growth of technology competition in a global climate change mitigation context; With this model self-enforcing agreements (i.e. agreements that the signatories stick to even in the absence of a higher authority able to deter non-compliance) regarding abatement commitment and technological cooperation are analysed.