FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series
2001 .085

IPCC "Summary for Policymakers" in TAR: Do its Results Give a Support Always Adequate to the Urgencies of Kyoto Global Negotiations?


Authors: Maurizio Michelini
Series: Climate Change and Sustainable Development
Editor: Carlo Carraro
Type: Journal
Keywords: Kyoto Protocol,world energy scenarios,CO2 global emissions
JEL n.: O190
JEL: Energia, Ambiente, Innovazione
Pages: N. 3
Date: 2001

Abstract

One of the most important reasons by which Kyoto negotiations had suffered a setback at the COP 6 conference may be the unsatisfactory state about the previsions of Global Warming. This lack of knowledge may have such an influence on the formation of human opinion that we cannot to be amazed if the policymakers did not find a common mind to proceed in the fulfilment of the Kyoto protocol. Of course, the uncertainties in the scientific knowledge cannot be avoided or attributed to something in particular. However the presentation of the complex results obtained by IPCC during many years of work has not received the right importance. In our opinion the Summary's description of the Global Warming by means of simulations stopped at year 2100 does not appear to be suitable to induce a correct risk perception. A preliminary simulation is described which may clarify this concept.
Download file
Download PDF file

FEEM Newsletter

Subscribe to stay connected.

Your personal data will be processed by Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei. – data Controller – with the aim of emailing the FEEM newsletter. The use of Your email address is necessary for the implementation of the newsletter service. You are invited to read the Privacy Policy in order to obtain additional information about the protection of Your rights.

This Website uses technical cookies and cookie analytics, as well as “third party” profiling cookies.
If you close this banner or you decide to continue navigating on this Website, you express consent to the use of cookies. If you need additional information or you wish to express selective choices on the use of cookies, please refer to the   Cookie PolicyI agree