FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series
2015 .101

How is Volatility in Commodity Markets Linked to Oil Price Shocks?


Authors: Maryam Ahmadi, Niaz Bashiri Behmiri, Matteo Manera
Series: Energy: Resources and Markets
Editor: Matteo Manera  
Type: Journal
Keywords: Metals, Commodities, Volatility, Oil Price
JEL n.: Q02, Q14, Q41, C22
JEL: Energy Economics
Pages: Volume 59, Pages 11–23
Date: 09/2016

Abstract

This study investigates the effects of oil price shocks on volatility of selected agricultural and metal commodities. To achieve this goal, we decompose an oil price shock to its underlying components, including macroeconomics and oil specific shocks. The applied methodology is the structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model and the time span is from April 1983 to December 2013. The investigation is divided into two subsamples, before and after 2006 for agricultures taking into account the 2006-2008 food crisis, and before and after 2008 for metals considering the recent global financial crisis. The validity of time divisions is confirmed by historical decomposition accomplishment. We find that, based on impulse response functions, the response of volatility of each commodity to an oil price shock differs significantly depending on the underlying cause of the shock for the both pre and post-crisis periods. moreover, according to variance decomposition the explanatory power of oil shocks becomes stronger after the crisis. The different responses of commodities are described in detail by investigating market characteristics in each period.

***

Suggested citation: Maryam Ahmadi, Niaz Bashiri Behmiri, Matteo Manera, How is volatility in commodity markets linked to oil price shocks?, Energy Economics, Volume 59, September 2016, Pages 11-23, ISSN 0140-9883, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2016.07.006
 

Download file
Download PDF file

FEEM Update

Subscribe to stay connected.

Your personal data will be processed by Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei. – data Controller – with the aim of emailing the FEEM newsletter. The use of Your email address is necessary for the implementation of the newsletter service. You are invited to read the Privacy Policy in order to obtain additional information about the protection of Your rights.

This Website uses technical cookies and cookie analytics, as well as “third party” profiling cookies.
If you close this banner or you decide to continue navigating on this Website, you express consent to the use of cookies. If you need additional information or you wish to express selective choices on the use of cookies, please refer to the   Cookie PolicyI agree