FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series
2005 .097

Economy-Wide Estimates of the Implications of Climate Change: Human Health


Authors: Francesco Bosello, Roberto Roson, Richard S.J. Tol
Series: Climate Change and Sustainable Development
Editor: Carlo Carraro
Type: Journal
Keywords: Impacts of climate change,Human health,Computable general equilibrium
JEL n.: C68,D58,Q25
JEL: Ecological Economics
Pages: Volume 58, Issue 3, Pages 579–591
Date: 06/2006

Abstract

We study the economic impacts of climate-change-induced change in human health, viz. cardiovascular and respiratory disorders, diarrhoea, malaria, dengue fever and schistosomiasis. Changes in morbidity and mortality are interpreted as changes in labour productivity and demand for health care, and used to shock the GTAP-E computable general equilibrium model, calibrated for the year 2050. GDP, welfare and investment fall (rise) in regions with net negative (positive) health impacts. Prices, production, and terms of trade show a mixed pattern. Direct cost estimates, common in climate change impact studies, underestimate the true welfare losses.

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