FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series
2007 .016

Climate Change and the Stability of Water Allocation Agreements


Authors: Erik Ansink, Arjan Ruijs
Series: Climate Change and Sustainable Development
Editor: Carlo Carraro
Type: Journal
Keywords: Water Allocation,Stability,Climate Change,Game Theory
JEL n.: C7,Q25
JEL: Environmental and Resource Economics
Pages: Vol. 41, No. 2, pp. 249-66
Date: 10/2008

Abstract

We analyse agreements on river water allocation between riparian countries. Besides being efficient, water allocation agreements need to be stable in order to be effective in increasing the efficiency of water use. In this paper, we assess the stability of water allocation agreements, using a game theoretic model. We consider the effects of climate change and the choice of a sharing rule on stability. Our results show that both a decrease in mean river flow and an increase in the variance of river flow decrease the stability of an agreement. An agreement where the downstream country is allocated a fixed amount of water has the lowest stability compared to other sharing rules.

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