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Advanced Model Development and Validation for Improved Analysis of Costs and Impacts of Mitigation Policies - ADVANCE

Abstract

Integrated assessment and energy-economy models have become central tools for informing long-term global and regional climate mitigation strategies. There is a large demand for improved representations of complex system interactions and thorough validation of model behaviour in order to increase user confidence in climate policy assessments. ADVANCE aims to respond to this demand by facilitating the development of a new generation of integrated assessment models. This will be achieved by substantial progress in key areas where model improvements are greatly needed: end use and energy service demand; representation of heterogeneity, behaviour, innovation and consumer choices; technical change and uncertainty; system integration, path dependencies and resource constraints; and economic impacts of mitigation policies. In the past, methodological innovations and improvements were hindered by the unavailability of suitable input data. The ADVANCE project will make a large and coordinated effort to generate relevant datasets. These datasets, along with newly developed methodologies, will be made available to the broader scientific community as open-access resources.
ADVANCE will also put a focus on improved model transparency, model validation, and data handling.

A central objective of ADVANCE is to evaluate and to improve the suitability of models for climate policy impact assessments. The improved models will be applied to an assessment of long-term EU climate policy in a global context, and disseminated to the wider community. The ADVANCE consortium brings together long-standing expertise in integrated assessment and energy-economy modelling with a strong expertise in material flows, energy system integration, and energy service demand.

Partners

  1. POTSDAM INSTITUT FUER KLIMAFOLGENFORSCHUNG (PIK), GERMANY
  2. INTERNATIONALES INSTITUT FUER ANGEWANDTE SYSTEMANALYSE (IIASA), AUSTRIA
  3. MINISTERIE VAN INFRASTRUCTUUR EN MILIEU (PBL), NETHERLANDS
  4. FONDAZIONE ENI ENRICO MATTEI (FEEM), ITALY
  5. JRC -JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE- EUROPEAN COMMISSION (IPTS), BELGIUM
  6. UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON (UCL), UNITED KINGDOM
  7. SOCIETE DE MATHEMATIQUES APPLIQUEES ET DE SCIENCES HUMAINES (SMASH), FRANCE
  8. UNIVERSITY OF EAST ANGLIA (UEA), UNITED KINGDOM
  9. INSTITUTE OF COMMUNICATION AND COMPUTER SYSTEMS (ICCS), GREECE
  10. UNIVERSITE PIERRE MENDES FRANCE (UPMF-EDDEN) FRANCE
  11. NORGES TEKNISK-NATURVITENSKAPELIGE UNIVERSITET NTNU (NTNU), NORWAY
  12. DEUTSCHES ZENTRUM FUER LUFT - UND RAUMFAHRT EV (DLR), GERMANY
  13. UNIVERSITEIT UTRECHT (UU), NETHERLANDS

Surname NameRole
Berger Loïc Research Associate
Bevione Michela Research Associate
Bosetti Valentina Senior Researcher
Carrara Samuel Researcher
Cassinelli Mariaester Program Officer Mitigation, Innovation and Transformation Pathways (MITP)
Drouet Laurent Senior Researcher
Emmerling Johannes Senior Researcher
Malpede Michele Research Associate
Manoussi Vassiliki Junior Researcher
Marangoni Giacomo Junior Researcher
Tavoni Massimo Mitigation, Innovation and Transformation Pathways (MITP) Program Coordinator
Verdolini Elena Senior Researcher

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Start Date: January 2013

End Date:
December 2016
 
 
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